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Analysis: Can England Really Lift the World Cup?

10/9/2009 8:38 AM GMT By Ian Winrow

    • Ian Winrow
The atlases have been dragged down off the shelf and the predictable stampede for tickets has begun.

But have we really seen anything to suggest that the thousands of England fans who travel to South Africa next summer will really witness anything more than the usual depressing cocktail of moments of hope laced with an overwhelming shot of disappointment?

Once again the squad will depart with glowing testimonies ringing in their ears - although the phrase 'golden generation' has been around for so long now it's beginning to show more than the odd sign of rust – and voice confident statements about ending 44 years of hurt.

This time, more than any other time, and all that.

Then the first group game will begin and all the euphoria generated by the 5-1 demolition of Croatia and any subsequent warm-up victories will be forgotten......and it's at that point when we will get our first real inclination of whether Fabio Capello really is messiah, the man who can finally transform England from tournament half-wits into ruthless champions.

The one thing we can say with a degree of certainty is that the squad that heads south next year will contain few surprises. Capello has shown he is not a man whose natural inclination is to experiment. And, in the areas where he would most like to switch things around, the Italian simply doesn't have the options available to him.

Capello was asked before the friendly with Slovenia whether it was possible to win a tournament without a world class goalkeeper and the coach's answer was nothing if not realistic. Where other managers might have attempted to launch into a morale-boosting declaration of support for their number one – whoever that may turn out to be, in England's case – Capello simply pointed out that England were stronger in other areas.

That is certainly true as the performance against Croatia showed. Steven Gerrard, Wayne Rooney, Frank Lampard and Ashley Cole would challenge for place in any team in the world. Then again, there were plenty of world class performances in the 5-1 victory in Germany in 2001, and where did that get England?

The problem for Capello, though, is whether England are stronger in enough areas to avoid their usual quarter-final disappointment. And with Glen Johnson looking as flakey at right back as Robert Green or David James do in goal, is it really realistic to expect a side where two-fifths of the defensive unit look under-par to win the World Cup?

Lots will happen between now and next June, and if recent tournaments are anything to go by, the top players who endure a gruelling season for their clubs may well be too tired to shine, levelling out the standard of competition.

In the meantime, though, England are entitled to enjoy this moment of glory. And they are also entitled to belief that with Capello at the helm, there is just the chance that the feeling will last a little longer than usual next summer.

But World champions? Now that's a different matter altogether.

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